Swedish Alecta withdraws SEK 70–80 billion from US Treasuries — a signal to markets

Alecta, one of Sweden’s largest pension funds, has sold the majority of its holdings in US Treasuries citing the “unpredictability” of American policy. We explain why this matters for global financial stability and what it could mean for Ukraine.

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Fund announcement and scale

Swedish pension fund Alecta has disposed of the majority of its holdings in US Treasury bonds — roughly 70–80 billion Swedish kronor (approximately $7.7–8.8 billion), Dagens Industri reports, citing sources. The fund's website states that Alecta manages pensions for 2.8 million people and companies, with assets of about 1,300 billion kronor (≈$142.7 billion).

"Increased risk and unpredictability in US policy"

— Alecta fund (as reported by Dagens Industri)

Context: other exits and reaction

Earlier, on 20 January, the Danish pension fund AkademikerPension announced a planned exit from investments in US Treasury bonds by the end of the month. Analysts view both funds' decisions as a response to rising geopolitical and political uncertainty related to decisions by the US administration.

"Denmark's investments in US Treasuries — like Denmark itself — mean nothing"

— Scott Bessent (as sources report)

An important episode in the political background: on 17 January 2026 the US president announced plans to impose tariffs on allies over the Greenland issue — a move that added tension to transatlantic relations and heightened investor concerns.

Why this matters

In short — through three channels of risk for Ukraine and for broad markets:

1) Cost of financing. Large-scale sales of Treasuries put downward pressure on bond prices and push yields higher. Higher US rates spread through global markets and raise borrowing costs for governments and businesses.

2) Reallocation of capital. European funds reducing positions in US paper may look for alternatives — Eurobonds, gold, domestic investments. This changes the structure of international financing, including flows that support defense and humanitarian programs.

3) Signal of confidence in policy. A move away from Treasuries is not only a financial operation but also a political message: large institutions are beginning to factor geopolitical uncertainty into their portfolios. For countries dependent on transatlantic support, this is an additional indicator worth monitoring.

Possible consequences for Ukraine

The direction of these moves will not necessarily cause immediate problems, but it creates additional risks: currency fluctuations, rising rates, and shifts in investor priorities can complicate the raising of long-term resources. For Ukraine, this means that political guarantees and financial support from partners need to be backed by concrete mechanisms and contracts, not just declarations.

What next?

In the coming weeks it will be important to watch two indicators: the reaction of other large European and global funds and the dynamics of US Treasury yields. If sales become systemic — this will change pricing benchmarks across broad markets.

For Ukraine the key question is not only about the numbers: will the rhetoric about aid turn into concrete instruments that can withstand market volatility? The stability of long-term support depends on that.

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