InPost in investors’ sights: what a €6bn offer means for European logistics

Shares of Poland's postal operator jumped by roughly 20% after reports of a possible buyout — we explain why this matters for the market, consumers and neighboring economies, including Ukraine.

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Brief and to the point

InPost — operator of the largest network of parcel lockers in Europe — has received an offer from an unnamed investor to buy all shares. The company disclosed this on the Amsterdam Stock Exchange; after the news, share prices rose by about 20%, and market capitalization reached roughly €5.8bn.

What is known — facts

A special committee made up of members of the supervisory board and management board has been formed to evaluate the proposal, and is to review the deal taking into account the interests of the company and all stakeholders. According to Sky News, the initiative is being led by the investment firm Advent International, which already holds a minority stake in InPost; other major shareholders are likely to join the consolidating consortium.

"The proposal is being led by investment firm Advent International, which currently holds a minority stake in InPost"

— Sky News

Reports say the company is being valued at at least €6bn under the proposal. The largest shareholder is Czech PPF Group NV (≈28.75%), and founder and CEO Rafał Brzoska controls about 12.49% of the shares.

Why it matters — brief analysis

Interest in InPost is not accidental: the growth of e‑commerce and the need for efficient delivery make parcel locker networks a strategic asset. Industry consolidation could accelerate investment in automation, increase pressure on delivery prices and change competitive dynamics in Western and Central Europe.

For Ukraine this carries important indirect consequences: stable and fast supply chains in the EU ease the work of exporters, the diaspora and humanitarian channels; conversely, periods of restructuring among major players can sometimes be accompanied by temporary disruptions or a revision of cooperation terms.

Market implications and scenarios

If the deal goes through, possible scenarios include: accelerated integration of operations and technologies, a strengthening of InPost's position in key markets or, alternatively, short-term uncertainty in relationships with partners and customers during restructuring. Regulators and shareholders will have a key role in the final decision.

Conclusion

Advent's proposal and the jump in InPost shares signal that European delivery infrastructure is becoming attractive to large investors. For businesses and consumers this means opportunities and risks at the same time. Now the ball is in the committee’s, shareholders’ and regulators’ court: their decisions will determine whether the transformation brings more stability and investment, or temporary turbulence in services that are important for Ukraine as well.

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