What it’s about
Elon Musk said that SpaceX is temporarily shifting its focus from colonizing Mars to building a “self-developing city” on the Moon. According to him, the lunar project could be completed in less than 10 years, whereas large-scale work on Mars would take more than 20 years. At the same time, Musk does not dismiss plans for Mars and calls them a long‑term priority.
“For those who don’t know, SpaceX has already shifted its attention to building a self‑growing city on the Moon, since we could potentially achieve this in less than 10 years, whereas Mars would take more than 20 years.”
— Elon Musk, founder of SpaceX
Why the Moon seems the “faster” option
The arguments are simple and technical: travel time and launch window frequency. Musk reminded that flights to Mars depend on planetary alignment — such windows occur roughly every 26 months, and the trip takes about six months. For the Moon, windows are far more frequent (about every 10 days), and the journey takes around two days. This enables faster experimental cycles and gradual buildup of infrastructure.
Context: not the first program and not without doubts
This is not Musk’s first grand statement about colonization: in 2019 he estimated developing infrastructure on Mars could take up to 20 years, and in 2020 he spoke of relocating a million people by 2050 — a plan that experts at Insider called problematic in at least four respects. At the same time, the initiative has financial and reputational backing: according to Forbes (February 2026), Musk’s net worth reached $800 billion after a deal between SpaceX and xAI.
What this means for the market and for Ukraine
The pivot to the Moon is not just a PR move. Faster flight cycles mean accelerated demand for components, ground systems, logistics, and software. For Ukraine this is an opportunity: our engineering base and companies working in space and related industries can offer key solutions — from electronics and engines to ground control systems and analytics.
Analysts note that lunar programs have a strong industrial effect: short iterations — more contracts for small and medium contractors, less dependence on monopolies, and rapid commercial testing of technologies that can later be adapted for defense or civilian needs. For Ukraine this means potential contracts, knowledge transfer, and integration into international supply chains.
Risks and healthy skepticism
At the same time, technical and financial risks must be remembered: large‑scale projects require stable funding, regulatory agreements, and solutions for life support. Experts warn that timelines and estimates may be optimistic, and the roadmap could be adjusted in response to practical realities.
Conclusion
Musk’s announcement is a signal of a shift toward more practical, faster experiments in space. For the Ukrainian industry it is a chance to turn military and civilian experience into competitive offerings in international projects. Whether we can seize this opportunity is a question not only of technology, but also of politics, investment, and productive international ties.
