Operational response
The Kyiv City Military Administration says that information about the departure of more than 600 000 residents of the capital is not confirmed. KMVA spokesperson Kateryna Pop directly refuted such estimates on the telemarathon broadcast, commenting on Mayor Vitali Klitschko’s remarks about a mass outflow after the shelling on 9 January.
“Such information is not confirmed by any unit of the Kyiv City Military Administration”
— Kateryna Pop, spokesperson for the Kyiv City Military Administration
Context and verified facts
It is important to recall the facts known at the time of the statements: on the night of 9 January Russia carried out a combined attack on Kyiv — four people were killed and more than 20 were injured. At that time almost 6000 multi-storey apartment buildings were left without heating, and emergency shutoffs were introduced in parts of the city.
A repeated attack on the night of 20 January also led to large-scale disruptions: 5635 multi-storey apartment buildings were left without heating, about 80% of them are buildings where heating had been restored after 9 January.
Why the discrepancy in the numbers matters
The difference between the claimed 600 000 who left and what the infrastructure records is not just statistics. If that many subscribers had left the city, it would be visible in the operation of the power grids and in providers’ data: drops in consumption, changes in line losses, a different picture of service restoration. These are the kinds of markers the KMVA refers to when it says, “we do not see the factual basis.”
The discrepancies affect three things: planning of humanitarian aid, prioritization of restoration work, and public trust in official sources. When the numbers are not aligned, resources can go where they are not most needed.
What should be demanded and done next
To reduce uncertainty, simple technical steps are needed: a public counting methodology (which sources the data come from), consolidated metrics from energy companies and telecom operators, and coordinated summaries between the city administration and the mayor’s office. It is also important that volunteer networks and aid centers receive operational data on population movements — otherwise those who truly need support will suffer.
Energy network analysts note: without transparent data, it is difficult to distinguish a mass evacuation from local supply problems caused by infrastructure damage.
Conclusion
The statements of the authorities and the infrastructure data must converge. Until that happens, the claim “half a million have left” remains in question — and this undermines the effectiveness of assistance. Are the authorities and the mayor’s office ready to publish detailed counts and their sources? The answer affects not only the journalists’ agenda but also real help for people in the city.
