Over the next three days, Ukraine will be affected by atmospheric fronts: rain, thunderstorms, strong winds in places, and hail — such is the forecast from the Ukrainian Hydrometeorological Center for June 15–17. Daytime temperatures will range from +18 to +25°C depending on the region.
Who and when will be affected
The pattern of front movement is clear: on June 15, rain and thunderstorms will cover most regions, on June 16 — everything except the east, on June 17 — the east and southeast, Transcarpathia and Subcarpathia. It is in the east on the 17th that meteorologists are recording the highest risk: in some areas, hail and gusts of 15–20 m/s are expected.
Over the next day in most regions, on the afternoon of June 16 in Ukraine except the east, on June 17 in eastern regions, in Transcarpathia and Subcarpathia, short-term rain, thunderstorms in places; tomorrow afternoon in the east and southeast of the country in some areas — hail and gusts of 15–20 m/s.
— Ukrainian Hydrometeorological Center
Weather as an agronomic risk
June is not just a summer month. It is the final stretch for winter grains: wheat and barley are filling with grain, and at this very moment a squall or hailstorm could destroy the harvest in areas that survived winter, rocket strikes, and spring drought.
Based on the results of the third decade of June in previous years, the Ukrainian Hydrometeorological Center has found that contrasting weather with sharp temperature fluctuations and mechanical damage to plants from hail significantly affected crop conditions in affected areas. This season, meteorologists are warning in advance — but the geography of hail remains unpredictable until the specific thundercloud.
What "20 m/s gusts" practically means
- 20 m/s — this is 72 km/h. Broken branches, torn roofs, toppled structures.
- For construction and restoration of destroyed infrastructure: work at height stops when wind reaches 15 m/s or more.
- For drivers: on bridges and open road sections, lateral displacement of a truck becomes a real risk.
- For military personnel and volunteers in open positions: reduced visibility, complicated logistics.
Meteorologists do not specify particular settlements — the forecast is given on a regional scale. That is, neighboring districts can receive either 50 mm of precipitation or zero.
After the front
After June 17, the atmospheric front is expected to move away. If the temperature after the thunderstorms recovers to +25°C or above with no new precipitation, a dry and hot period will begin in the east — precisely the kind that, combined with previous moisture, creates the best conditions for harvesting early grains.
The question is different: if the squalls of June 17 pass through crops in Kharkiv or Zaporizhzhia regions — will farmers, who are already growing grain under bombardment, receive state compensation, or will this weather simply become another unnoticed loss of the war season?
